How to use the Trump Late Night Truth Social tool

Trump Late Night Truth Social tool showing post counts by hour and week

The Trump Late Night Truth Social tool shows historical data on when Trump posts on Truth Social late at night, helping you get an edge on Kalshi's "Trump late night post this week?" markets.

This tool is included in all Prediction Markets Pro subscriptions at no extra cost.

What's included

  • Hour-by-hour breakdown – Rows for each late-night hour Kalshi tracks, so you can see exactly when posts tend to happen
  • Weekly history – Post counts for that hour across past weeks, plus the current week as it develops
  • Hit rate – What percentage of past weeks had at least one post during that specific hour
  • Live Kalshi prices – For hours where no post has happened yet this week, the Yes/No prices for that hour's market pull in directly from Kalshi

How to use the data

Compare the hit rate for a given hour to the current Yes price on Kalshi. An hour with a high historical hit rate but a low Yes price could be underpriced.

As the week progresses and certain hours pass without a post, the remaining live hours will re-price on Kalshi—use the hit rate data to judge whether the market is keeping up with how likely a late post still is.

Note: Free accounts see limited historical weeks. Prediction Markets Pro subscribers see the full history.

Related tools